Commodities Update – The LNG Squeeze

The Increasing Spread in LNG Futures

  • The spread between Asian Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) futures and U.S. LNG futures has surged over the past month.
  • Before fighting began, contracts for Asian LNG were $7.92 more than U.S. gas. As of 4/1/2026, the difference was up to $17.01.  

Largest Exporters of LNG 

  • In 2025, the U.S. was responsible for 26% of global LNG exports, which was the most of any country. 
  • Qatar had the second-largest share of any single country, at 19% of global LNG exports.
  • In recent news, Golden Pass LNG in the state of Texas began production of LNG on 3/30/3026. This sets the project up to be able to deliver to clients in Q2 2026. 

 

A Sharp Decline in LNG Exports from Qatar

  • While exports of LNG from the U.S. have been unimpacted by the war in the Middle East, exports from Qatar decreased drastically. 
  • In the last week before the war began, Qatar exported 1.62 million metric tons of LNG. In the four full weeks since, Qatar exported a total of 1.13 million metric tons. 

Asian Countries are Highly Reliant on Imports of LNG

  • The five single countries that imported the largest share of global LNG in 2025 were located in Asia. 
  • Japan and China were each responsible for 15% of global LNG imports, the highest marks of any country. 



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